The Daily PrintWed 23 Sep 2026 · 23:59 UTC

−2.1% 24h+10.8% 7d

ETH$2,685

−2.5% 24h+11.1% 7d

SOL$114.98

−3.0% 24h+16.6% 7d

Uptrend extends: BTC, ETH and SOL

7-day return in the top 5% of the past year (BTC +1.8σ, ETH +1.4σ, SOL +1.9σ) extending a 180-day trend in the top 5% (BTC +2.4σ, ETH +1.9σ, SOL +2.5σ).

Also · Futures positioning cooling on BTC and ETH

The landscape

Where each major sits against its own history. Switch a panel to “7d vs 30d” to see what changed this week.

Returns

Rolling return versus its own 365-day distribution

Realized volatility

Realized volatility versus its own history at each horizon

Trend efficiency

Efficiency ratio — how cleanly price has travelled; high is a straight-line trend

Z-scores≤ −2σ
−1σ
0
+1σ
≥ +2σ
7d vs 30d30-day7-day, solid when it moved ≥ 1σ from the 30-day

1 setup firing

A setup fires when every one of its conditions is met at the close. Open a theme, then a setup, to see the live readings.

Lead setup

SOLBullish leanEfficiency

60-Day Efficiency Ratio at z > +1.5σ

Why it fired

✓How directionally clean the last two months of tape has been+1.6σ needs > +1.5σ

What happened next, historically

After 60d

+10.0%

76% hit

After 90d

+17.6%

71% hit

After 180d

+7.3%

59% hit

Research-grade · median price move after past episodes · n=69

Next to fire

The setups closest to firing: what is still missing, and what history says if they do.

60-Day Efficiency Ratio at z > +1.5σ

Bullish lean0 of 1 conditions met

+17.6% median 90d
if it fires · n=69

○How directionally clean the last two months of tape has been+1.5σ needs > +1.5σ

Every number on this page is live. Ask your agent about any asset, factor or horizon.

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