Structural60–180 days
Constructive2 high · 0 low of 3 scores
Scorevs own historyown %ilevs market30 days
Price vs 180-day average
High
+1.1σ
90-day return
High
+1.4σ
Trend efficiency, 90-day
Normal
−0.2σ
The StudyMon 2 Nov 2026 · 23:59 UTC
Where does BTC stand?
$76,677−2.0% 24h−4.2% 7d0 setups firing · history since Mar 2021
›ContextWhere it stands
Price in context
Three years on a log scale.
Price50-day average200-day average50-day crosses the 200-day (↑ above · ↓ below)
Key levels
1-year high$110,640 +44.3%
50-day average$81,913 +6.8%
20-day average$80,501 +5.0%
200-day average$73,157 −4.6%
1-year low$58,559 −23.6%
Returns against history
Today's trailing return against every trailing return of the same length since Mar 2021.
90-day return68th percentile
+19.7%
≤ −51.2%≥ +74.0%
180-day return37th percentile
−5.8%
≤ −58.0%≥ +156.5%
365-day return25th percentile
−30.7%
≤ −71.2%≥ +169.4%
BTC vs. comps
Top 5 by 180-day return correlation · ranked by 90-day return
BTC ranks 3rd of 6 on 90-day return.
| Asset | 180d corr. | 30d | 90d | 90d pctl (own history) | vs 200d MA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SOL | 0.84 | −23.2% | +24.6% | 67th | +3.4% |
 ETH | 0.89 | −16.3% | +20.4% | 66th | +4.3% |
| BTC | — | −9.5% | +19.7% | 68th | +4.8% |
 XRP | 0.87 | −16.1% | +16.3% | 69th | −2.1% |
 DOGE | 0.81 | −20.2% | +5.8% | 68th | −13.9% |
 ADA | 0.77 | −22.9% | −2.4% | 63rd | −9.9% |
Risk profile
From daily closes. Percentiles compare against the asset's own history.
Volatility, 30-day (annualized)
30%
9th percentile
Below 1-year high
−30.7%
−38.5% from the high since 2021
Max drawdown, last year
−47.1%
Sharpe, trailing year
-0.82
20th percentile
›The readAcross horizons
Structurally constructive with no short-term stretch.
8079
8169
2981
Tactical7–14 days
Neutral1 high · 0 low of 4 scores
Scorevs own historyown %ilevs market30 days
Price vs 7-day average
Normal
−0.7σ
14-day return
Normal
−0.6σ
Options skew (25-delta)
Normal
−0.1σ
Taker net buying, 7-day
High
+1.8σ
Entry contextNo short-term stretch: the 7-day return (−4.2%) is in the 22nd percentile of its history.
Compressing or expanding?
Every factor family across horizons. Switch to “Compare” and pick any two horizons to see which are moving away from their baseline — the left columns feed the tactical lens, the right columns the structural.
BTC factor z-scores
›Structural lens · 60–180 daysIs the longer trend constructive?
No structural setups are firing today.
›Tactical lens · 7–14 daysIs the short-term move stretched?
No short-horizon setups are firing. The tactical read comes from the scores in “Across horizons”.
›EvidenceWhen this happened before
No setups are firing on BTC today, so there is nothing to look up.
›TriggersWhat would change the read
Every number on this page is live. Ask your agent about any asset, factor or horizon.
› Methodology
Scores are z-scores against each metric’s trailing 365-day distribution on BTC; “vs market” is the percentile among all covered assets that day. The structural lens reads 60–180 day horizons; the tactical lens 7–14 days. Entry context uses past 7-day moves in the same top or bottom decile on the same side of the 200-day average, at least 20 episodes. Analogs replay every setup over its history; days within 30 days of 2026-11-02 are excluded. Returns are close-to-close at 23:59 UTC.
For information only — not investment advice or a recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results.