CRYPTYXThe TapeQuery via MCP →
The Daily PrintFri 21 Aug 2026 · 23:59 UTC
BTC
BTC$78,335
+7.3% 24h+24.4% 7d
ETH
ETH$2,515
+8.1% 24h+33.7% 7d
SOL
SOL$93.65
+6.9% 24h+24.3% 7d

Uptrend extends: BTC, ETH and SOL

7-day return in the top 5% of the past year (BTC +4.5σ, ETH +4.4σ, SOL +2.9σ) extending a 180-day trend in the top 10% (BTC +2.1σ, ETH +1.2σ, SOL +1.4σ).
Also · Futures positioning running hot on BTC

The landscape

Where each major sits against its own history. Switch a panel to “7d vs 30d” to see what changed this week.

Returns

Rolling return versus its own 365-day distribution
7d14d30d60d90d180d365dBTC+3.2σ+2.3σ+1.7σ+1.7σ+0.6σ+0.5σ−0.4σETH+3.1σ+2.9σ+2.0σ+1.8σ+0.7σ+0.4σ−0.8σSOL+1.8σ+2.6σ+1.5σ+1.5σ+0.5σ+0.4σ−0.4σ

Realized volatility

Realized volatility versus its own history at each horizon
7d14d30d60d90d180d365dBTC+1.1σ+0.9σ+0.2σ−0.3σ−0.2σ−0.3σ+0.8σETH+1.8σ+1.2σ+0.3σ−0.5σ−0.5σ−2.2σ−1.5σSOL+0.4σ−0.1σ−0.7σ−1.3σ−1.2σ−2.5σ−1.5σ

Trend efficiency

Efficiency ratio — how cleanly price has travelled; high is a straight-line trend
7d14d30d60d90d180d365dBTC+2.4σ+2.8σ+2.0σ+1.8σ−1.8σ−0.7σ+0.4σETH+2.4σ+3.3σ+2.5σ+2.6σ−0.1σ−0.3σ+1.3σSOL+2.3σ+2.5σ+1.9σ+1.8σ−0.9σ−0.8σ+1.2σ
Z-scores
≤ −2σ
−1σ
0
+1σ
≥ +2σ
7d vs 30d30-day7-day, solid when it moved ≥ 1σ from the 30-day

Confluence

Three or more factor families moving the same way on one asset this week (each at |z| ≥ 1.0σ).
BTCBTC
▲ 4 families
returns +3.2σefficiency +1.8σvolatility +0.6σflow +1.4σorder book −0.1σoptions −0.4σfutures +4.5σcorrelation +0.1σ
ETHETH
▲ 4 families
returns +3.1σefficiency +1.2σvolatility +1.5σflow +1.5σorder book +0.3σoptions −0.6σfutures −1.4σcorrelation +0.4σ

6 setups firing

A setup fires when every one of its conditions is met at the close. Open a theme, then a setup, to see the live readings.
Lead setupBTCETHSOLBTC · ETH · SOLBullish leanEfficiency

Multi-Window Efficiency Alignment

Why it fired
BTC
✓How directionally clean the last week's tape has been+2.4σ needs > +1.5σ
✓How directionally clean the last two months of tape has been+1.8σ needs > +1.0σ
ETH
✓How directionally clean the last week's tape has been+2.4σ needs > +1.5σ
✓How directionally clean the last two months of tape has been+2.6σ needs > +1.0σ
SOL
✓How directionally clean the last week's tape has been+2.3σ needs > +1.5σ
✓How directionally clean the last two months of tape has been+1.8σ needs > +1.0σ
What happened next, historically
60d90d180dn
BTCBTC+11.6%+20.4%+21.9%60
ETHETH+11.6%+20.4%+21.9%60
SOLSOL+11.6%+20.4%+21.9%60
›
Trend & momentum1 setup · 1 bullish
BTCETHSOL
›
60-Day Efficiency Ratio at z > +1.5σ
Bullish leanBTCETHSOLBTC · ETH · SOLFirst since Mar 2026 · SOL
+17.6% to +17.6%
median 90d after
BTCBTC
✓How directionally clean the last two months of tape has been+1.8σ needs > +1.5σ
+17.6% median 90d after · 71% hit · n=69
ETHETH
✓How directionally clean the last two months of tape has been+2.6σ needs > +1.5σ
+17.6% median 90d after · 71% hit · n=69
SOLSOLFirst since Mar 2026
✓How directionally clean the last two months of tape has been+1.8σ needs > +1.5σ
+17.6% median 90d after · 71% hit · n=69
Every number on this page is live. Ask your agent about any asset, factor or horizon.
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Methodology

Every reading is a z-score: how far today’s value sits from that asset’s own trailing 365-day distribution. Readings resolve at the daily close, 23:59 UTC. Setup statistics replay each setup’s current thresholds over the full history since 2021, and a setup is shown only when it has at least 20 separate past episodes, beat an ordinary day, and held up in both halves of that history. “First since” tags compare against every prior fire replayed back to March 2021.

For information only — not investment advice or a recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results.